BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1 Class Rank: 234 Overall: (18-16) Overall Strength = 27.77
Conference: Big Sky Record: (9-11) | District: 1-02 Record: (14-15)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-04-2024 Home W 33.21 100 49 ZZ 242 ( 0- 2) Park-Gilbert 5.47 * 45.53
2 11-08-2024 Home W 27.73 115 67 ZZ 252 ( 0- 1) Nelson AIC 0.00 * 48.00
3 11-12-2024 Away L 16.89 64 90 1 80 (21-14) Stanford -10.84 -15.16
4 11-14-2024 Away W * 31.34 60 57 1 288 ( 9-24) Pacific 3.60 -0.60
5 11-19-2024 Home W 21.09 82 47 ZZ 199 ( 0- 2) Embry-Riddle AZ -6.65 * 41.65
6 11-22-2024 Home W * 25.85 75 74 1 236 (18-17) Incarnate Word -1.88 2.88
7 11-26-2024 Neutral L * 20.55 68 72 1 277 (16-16) Eastern Michigan -7.18 3.18
8 11-27-2024 Away W * 30.93 74 71 1 266 (12-20) Houston Chr 3.20 -0.20
9 12-04-2024 Away L * 18.09 76 83 1 314 ( 7-23) Oral Roberts -9.65 2.65
10 12-07-2024 Home W * 37.94 95 82 1 227 (19-14) South Dakota 10.21 2.79
11 12-14-2024 Away L * 22.63 76 86 1 196 (13-22) Pepperdine -5.11 -4.89
12 12-21-2024 Away W * 33.74 83 75 1 296 (12-19) Southern Utah 6.01 1.99
13 12-30-2024 Home W 27.73 110 74 ZZ 163 ( 0- 1) Benedictine AZ 0.00 * 36.00
14 01-02-2025 Home L * * 22.39 67 72 1 187 (15-15) Idaho St -5.35 0.35
15 01-04-2025 Home W * * 25.76 80 77 1 275 (12-22) Weber St -1.97 4.97
16 01-09-2025 Away L * * 30.01 76 81 1 150 (25-10) Montana 2.28 -7.28
17 01-11-2025 Away L * * 29.16 53 58 1 172 (15-18) Montana St 1.43 -6.43
18 01-16-2025 Home W * * 41.86 77 53 1 333 ( 7-25) CS Sacramento 14.12 9.88
19 01-18-2025 Home L * * 15.90 69 80 1 192 (19-13) Portland St -11.83 0.83
20 01-23-2025 Away W * * 37.11 70 61 1 280 (10-22) E Washington 9.37 -0.37
21 01-25-2025 Away W * * 37.34 80 72 1 256 (14-19) Idaho 9.60 -1.60
22 02-01-2025 Away L * * 20.97 69 87 1 115 (25-10) N Colorado -6.76 -11.24
23 02-03-2025 Away L * * 24.87 73 77 1 275 (12-22) Weber St -2.86 -1.14
24 02-06-2025 Home W * * 33.05 69 64 1 172 (15-18) Montana St 5.32 -0.32
25 02-08-2025 Home L * * 25.90 80 83 1 150 (25-10) Montana -1.83 -1.17
26 02-13-2025 Away L * * 21.02 46 58 1 192 (19-13) Portland St -6.72 -5.28
27 02-15-2025 Away W * * 27.97 65 61 1 333 ( 7-25) CS Sacramento 0.24 3.76
28 02-20-2025 Home L * * 18.22 78 83 1 256 (14-19) Idaho -9.51 4.51
29 02-22-2025 Home W * * 41.99 87 67 1 280 (10-22) E Washington 14.26 5.74
30 03-01-2025 Home L * * 22.86 73 83 1 115 (25-10) N Colorado -4.88 -5.12
31 03-03-2025 Away W * * 36.50 82 79 1 187 (15-15) Idaho St 8.77 -5.77
32 03-08-2025 Neutral W * * 38.05 66 53 1 280 (10-22) E Washington 10.32 2.68
33 03-09-2025 Neutral L * * 22.96 65 74 1 150 (25-10) Montana -4.78 -4.22
34 03-23-2025 Neutral L * 21.34 78 85 1 219 (20-15) Queens NC -6.39 -0.61
Averages 27.73 75.9 71.6
Best game: 41.99 = 20 point win over E Washington
Worst game: 15.90 = 11 point loss to Portland St
Team stdev: 7.35